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Equity Valuation: typologies and performing methods

🔄Equity valuation is the process of determining the fair value of a company's common stock or equity. This involves analyzing a company's financial and operational performance, as well as its future prospects, to estimate the intrinsic value of its shares. Equity valuation is important for investors, as it helps them determine whether a company's stock is undervalued or overvalued compared to its current market price.


🔍There are several typologies of equity valuation methods, which are categorized based on the approach used to estimate the value of a company's equity. Here are four common typologies of equity valuation methods:


↪Income-Based Valuation: These methods estimate the value of a company's equity based on its expected future income or cash flows. Examples of income-based valuation methods include Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis, Dividend Discount Model (DDM), and Earnings Per Share (EPS) analysis.


↪Market-Based Valuation: These methods estimate the value of a company's equity based on the market value of comparable companies or the market value of its assets. Examples of market-based valuation methods include Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio, and Enterprise Value-to-Revenue (EV/R) ratio.


↪Asset-Based Valuation: These methods estimate the value of a company's equity based on the value of its assets. Examples of asset-based valuation methods include Net Asset Value (NAV) analysis, Liquidation Value analysis, and Replacement Cost analysis.


↪Option-Based Valuation: These methods estimate the value of a company's equity based on the value of its real options, such as the option to expand or abandon a project, or the option to delay an investment. Examples of option-based valuation methods include Option Pricing Model (OPM), Binomial Option Pricing Model (BOPM), and Black-Scholes-Merton Model (BSM).


Here are some further classifications of the typologies of equity valuation methods based on their level of detail and complexity, as well as the availability and reliability of data:


Income-Based Valuation


▪️Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis: This method is highly detailed and complex, requiring accurate projections of future cash flows and discount rates. The reliability of the data used for the projections can significantly affect the accuracy of the valuation.


▪️Dividend Discount Model (DDM): This method is relatively simple, but requires reliable estimates of future dividends and discount rates.


▪️Earnings Per Share (EPS) analysis: This method is simpler than DCF, but requires accurate estimates of earnings and growth rates.


Market-Based Valuation


▪️Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio: This method is relatively simple and relies on publicly available data, but requires accurate comparisons to other companies to ensure a reliable valuation.


▪️Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio: This method is simple and relies on publicly available data, but can be less reliable for companies with intangible assets.


▪️Enterprise Value-to-Revenue (EV/R) ratio: This method is relatively simple and relies on publicly available data, but may not be as reliable for companies with significant debt.


Asset-Based Valuation


▪️Net Asset Value (NAV) analysis: This method can be complex, requiring accurate estimates of the value of all assets and liabilities, and may not be reliable for companies with significant intangible assets.


▪️Liquidation Value analysis: This method is relatively simple, but relies on the assumption that all assets would be sold at a fair price, which may not be accurate in practice.


▪️Replacement Cost analysis: This method is simple and relies on publicly available data, but may not be as reliable for companies with specialized or unique assets.


Option-Based Valuation


▪️Option Pricing Model (OPM): This method can be highly complex, requiring accurate estimates of volatility and interest rates, and may not be reliable for companies with limited optionality.


▪️Binomial Option Pricing Model (BOPM): This method is relatively complex, but can be more flexible than other option-based methods, and may be more reliable for companies with variable optionality.


▪️Black-Scholes-Merton Model (BSM): This method is relatively simple and widely used, but may not be as reliable for companies with complex optionality or limited data.


◾These classifications show that the level of detail and complexity, as well as the availability and reliability of data, can significantly affect the choice and accuracy of equity valuation methods. It is important to carefully consider these factors when selecting a valuation method and interpreting the results.



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